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Gartner, Inc. expects to see multiple launches of autonomous vehicles around 2020. But, the full impact on society and the economy will not begin to emerge until approximately 2025. Consumer and social acceptance is a key driver in autonomous vehicle adoption.


Consumer adoption of autonomous driving

The Gartner Consumer Trends in Automotive online survey, conducted from April 2017 through May 2017, polled 1,519 people in the US and Germany and found that 55% of respondents will not consider riding in a fully autonomous vehicle, while 71% may consider riding in a partially autonomous vehicle. Concerns around technology failures and security are key reasons why many consumers are cautious about fully autonomous vehicles.

“Fear of autonomous vehicles getting confused by unexpected situations, safety concerns around equipment and system failures, and vehicle and system security are top concerns around using fully autonomous vehicles,” said Mike Ramsey, research director at Gartner.

Survey respondents agreed that fully autonomous vehicles do offer many advantages, like improved fuel economy and a reduced number and severity of crashes.


Autonomous vehicle industry development and impact on driving safety and quality of life

Many companies are currently developing different technologies required to enable vehicles to detect and understand their surroundings.

“The automotive industry is investing in new safety and convenience technology at a rate not seen since the dawn of the automobile. The experience of owning and operating a car will be dramatically different in 10 years,” Mr Ramsey said.



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